It Feels the Burn or It Gets the Trump Again Silence of Lambs
The race to 1,237 delegates: Hither'south how close Donald Trump can get on Super Tuesday
Opponents are drastic to limit Tuesday's damage lest information technology trigger a sense that he's unstoppable, prompting a mass-stampede of people to hop aboard the Trump Express
WASHINGTON — The only number that really matters in the Republican presidential race is 1,237 — that's the amount of delegates information technology will accept to win the political party'southward nomination.
In statistical terms the only thing being decided this week equally a half-dozen states vote on Super Tuesday is how shut Donald Trump gets to the halfway marker of that desired destination.
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His opponents are desperate to limit Tuesday's harm lest information technology trigger a less tangible, more virtual reality: a sense that he'south unstoppable, prompting a mass-stampede of people post-obit the governors of New Jersey and Maine, and now a first senator, who've just hopped aboard the Trump Express.
Opponents are attacking him more viciously, and are already launching a pre-emptive bulletin that whatever happens Tuesday is just another stop in a long, slow chug toward the concluding station.
"Here's the bottom line: You need 1,237 delegates to exist the Republican nominee," Sen. Marco Rubio told Pull a fast one on News Sunday. "Donald Trump will never have that number of delegates. I don't intendance how long I have to piece of work — I'll go to every state and territory."
In pure mathematical terms, Trump currently has only 81 delegates. Another 624 will be awarded Tuesday. He won't get anywhere well-nigh 624 because nearly all these early states laurels delegates proportionally, then the poll-leading Trump is only likely to get a few hundred of them.
That notwithstanding leaves two-thirds of the race alee as the calendar shifts to winner-take-all states on March 15, with the nigh valuable contest of all in April: California and its 172 delegates.
Should Trump struggle in the later races against a narrower field, and fail to reach that magic number, the fight volition shift to a nasty and potentially multi-ballot contest on the flooring of the summer Republican convention.
Ane of the well-nigh respected political analysts in Washington remains a Trump-skeptic — he admits his certainty is starting to waver after three direct wins past the improbable frontrunner, only he even so doubts his ability to get to one,237.
"Expectations (and momentum) don't affair. It'south delegates," Charlie Cook told Meet the Press.
"I've been very skeptical most Trump winning the nomination from the very beginning.
My knees are weakening a piffling. (Merely) when 2 out of iii Republican voters… are against him, are they going to coagulate around him?"
Only the Republican political party is nervous.
Some of its more powerful figures warn that their political party is sleepwalking into a general-election massacre. Their Senate leadership is reportedly preparing to run anti-Trump ads against their own party'south candidate in the general election — to spare electorally vulnerable lawmakers in swing states from being associated with him. The sense of incredulity is captured this week in a one-word headline on the front end of the Economist with Trump drawn every bit Uncle Sam: "Really?"
The attacks on Trump have gotten far more than vicious.
On Sunday lone, his well-documented real-estate dealings with members of the Italian Mafia were raised by Sen. Ted Cruz. He was asked about retweeting a quote attributed to the fascist Benito Mussolini. He was pressed on why he's being supported past the likes of former Ku Klux Klan Grand Wizard David Knuckles.
And he appeared to fumble the easiest question in American politics: Practice you disavow the support of a Ku Klux Klansman? The no-brainer was rendered even easier by the fact that he'd already disavowed him in an before media scrum.
Only when given the opportunity to answer the question 3 times on Dominicus by CNN, he offered a shoulder-shrugging response: "I know nothing nigh David Knuckles. I know nothing nigh white supremacists."
As for the Italian dictator, Trump told NBC: "Mussolini was Mussolini. It'south a very good quote… What difference does it make — if information technology'southward Mussolini or someone else?"
The quote he recycled from a Twitter follower citing Mussolini was: "It is better to live one twenty-four hours as a lion than 100 years as a sheep."
It may as well take been a metaphor for the 2022 U.S. election. Because Republican brass are now frantically alert that the sheep are beingness led to the slaughterhouse.
"A first-rate con artist is on the verge of taking over the party of Lincoln and Reagan," Rubio said. He accused Democrats and the media of going easy on Trump now — because, he said, they know he'south unelectable in Nov and would instantly unleash what he called "the hounds of hell" the moment he won the nomination.
"If he'due south our nominee it could be the end of the Republican Party," said Rubio, who denounced Trump's treatment of the KKK endorsement.
"It will split us and splinter us in a fashion that we may never be able to recover. And the Democrats will be joyful nigh it. It's not going to happen."
A roundup of general election polls at RealClearPolitics.com suggests Rubio would beat Hillary Clinton past 5 percentage points in a hypothetical full general-election matchup — the best score of whatever Republican.
That aforementioned site shows her beating Trump past three pct points.
Only the train kept chugging Lord's day. As prominent members of the Republican political party reacted with disbelief or disgust over the KKK exchange, Trump picked upward an endorsement from his first U.S. senator.
Clearing hawk Jeff Sessions had been courted aggressively by his colleague Ted Cruz — but there he was Sun at a Trump rally, punctuating his endorsement by pulling on a red baseball game cap embroidered with the slogan, "Make America Great Once again."
Source: https://nationalpost.com/news/world/the-race-to-1237-delegates-heres-how-close-donald-trump-can-get-on-super-tuesday
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